GH
GoodRx Holdings, Inc. (GDRX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $203.1M, up 1% year over year but modestly below S&P Global consensus ($205.7M*), while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.04 and Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.09, above S&P EPS consensus ($0.041*) .
- Adjusted EBITDA was $69.4M (34.2% margin), up from $65.4M a year ago and broadly consistent with Q1’s margin profile; mix shift to higher-margin activities and cost alignment supported margin resilience .
- Management lowered 2025 revenue outlook from $810–$840M to “increase from 2024” and cut Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $265–$275M, citing ~$35–$40M 2025 revenue headwind from the Rite Aid bankruptcy and volume decline in one PBM ISP program; Q3 revenue expected to be lower than Q4 .
- Pharma Manufacturer Solutions was the standout: +32% YoY to $35.0M in Q2, with management projecting 30%+ growth for 2025, positioning brand-direct and HCP initiatives as multi-quarter growth drivers .
- Execution catalysts: continued H2 brand/marketing relaunch, pharmacy counter/e-commerce integrations, direct contracting with independents (Community Link), and newly launched condition subscriptions (ED), while headwinds center on retail disruption and ISP restructuring .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong non-retail growth engine: “Pharma manufacturer solutions delivered especially strong results, with 32% year-over-year revenue growth in the second quarter,” with management “projecting [it] will grow 30% or higher in 2025” .
- Margin durability: Adjusted EBITDA of $69.4M and 34.2% margin (up 160 bps YoY) underscored cost realignment and mix benefits: “a solid financial quarter… adjusted EBITDA margin… improvement of 160 basis points” .
- Strategic expansions: CEO highlighted deals for “pharmacy counter and e-commerce solutions” and a new condition subscription for erectile dysfunction; management emphasized expanding integrated access/affordability with pharma to drive long-term growth .
What Went Wrong
- Retail disruption & ISP headwinds: A “material decline in volume at one of our PBM partners” and Rite Aid’s accelerated process led to lower MACs and prescription transactions revenue (-3% YoY) .
- Monthly Active Consumers fell 14% YoY to 5.7M in Q2, weighed by store closures and ISP changes; subscription plans also declined to 668K .
- Guidance cut: 2025 revenue view reduced (now only “increase vs 2024”), Adjusted EBITDA narrowed to $265–$275M, explicitly incorporating ~$35–$40M revenue loss from ISP/Rite Aid impacts; near-term revenue trajectory now “Q3 lower than Q4” .
Financial Results
Headline metrics vs prior periods and S&P Global consensus
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes:
- Revenue was slightly below S&P consensus (~$2.6M miss; ~1.3% below), while S&P “Primary EPS” beat the $0.041 consensus. Adjusted EPS of $0.09 reflects company non-GAAP reporting .
- S&P EBITDA definitions may differ from company-reported Adjusted EBITDA; company Adjusted EBITDA = $69.4M .
Segment revenue breakdown ($M)
KPIs
Cash and Capital Allocation (select items)
- Operating cash flow: $49.6M in Q2 2025 (vs $9.7M Q2 2024); cash & equivalents $281.3M; total outstanding debt $497.5M .
- Repurchases: 10.2M shares for $46.4M in Q2; $143.0M remaining under $450M authorization at 6/30/25 .
- Q1 2025 repurchases were $100.9M (23.3M shares) .
Guidance Changes
Management reiterated margin focus and operating efficiencies despite lower revenue expectations .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our business continues to deliver strong adjusted EBITDA margins… key initiatives designed to better position the company for sustainable long term growth.” – CEO Wendy Barnes, highlighting PMS strength and retailer integrations .
- “We are now projecting our pharma manufacturing solutions offering will grow 30% or higher in 2025.” – CFO Chris McGinnis .
- “Combined, [Rite Aid bankruptcy and ISP erosion] are expected to result in approximately $35 to $40 million of estimated revenue loss in 2025… Despite lowering revenue projections, we expect full year Adjusted EBITDA will be in the range of $265 and $275 million.” – CFO .
- “We launched e‑commerce solutions with an additional retailer… in contract discussions for several more.” – CEO
- “We are weeks out on the precipice of a brand relaunch and refresh… with additional marketing spend in the back half of the year.” – CEO/CFO during Q&A .
- “Community Link… provides predictable pricing and favorable economics [to independents]” based on cost‑plus NADAC and opt‑in ISP .
Q&A Highlights
- ISP trajectory: About half of the $35–$40M 2025 revenue headwind is ISP; recovery and new partner additions likely 2026 opportunity; expansion to brand “wrap” noted .
- Rite Aid impact and recapture: Process unfolded rapidly; recapture expected over time via direct outreach and partnerships with acquiring retailers; headwind sized in guidance .
- Marketing/brand: Elevated H2 marketing with a brand refresh; spend to support subscriptions (ED, weight-loss) and pharmacy-counter initiatives .
- Capital deployment: Buybacks remain a priority given valuation; continue to invest in strategic initiatives; slight back-half marketing uptick contemplated .
- KPI commentary: MACs pressured by retail closures and ISP changes, while revenue per script benefited from mix and unit economics; management reassessing MACs as a health metric as consumer-direct brand pricing shifts volume out of MAC count .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $203.07M vs $205.71M* (miss ~1.3%); Primary EPS $0.09 vs $0.0406 (beat); EBITDA S&P consensus ~$70.6M* with S&P “actual” ~$46.5M*, which differs from company Adjusted EBITDA of $69.4M due to differing definitions .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications:
- Modest top-line miss alongside an EPS beat should shift focus to mix and cost control. Street models will likely cut 2025 revenue (already guided down), while EBITDA forecasts may hold near the new $265–$275M range given management confidence .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Pharma Manufacturer Solutions is the structural growth driver (30%+ FY25 guide), supported by brand-direct pricing and HCP channel leverage; this mix shift helps protect margins even as retail faces turbulence .
- The retail/ISP reset is a 2025 headwind (~$35–$40M revenue), with recapture and brand “wrap” expansions pointing to recovery skewed to 2026; monitor updates on PBM partner additions and implementation pace .
- Margin resilience (Adj. EBITDA ~34%) reflects operating discipline and favorable mix; the new FY25 Adj. EBITDA range ($265–$275M) suggests durability despite top-line pressure .
- Near‑term stock drivers: (1) progress on retailer integrations/e‑commerce and independent pharmacy direct contracting (Community Link), (2) evidence of subscriber traction in new condition subscriptions (ED now, weight loss/hair loss planned), (3) updates on brand-direct pricing and GLP‑1 access (Novo collaboration announced post‑quarter) .
- Expect Q3 revenue to be lower than Q4; H2 brand relaunch and targeted marketing should support demand recapture; watch MAC trends but prioritize revenue per script and PMS growth metrics for health checks .
- Buybacks remain a supportive capital allocation lever alongside selective investment; balance sheet liquidity remains solid to fund initiatives and opportunistic repurchases .
Appendix: Additional Context and Data
Operating detail from 8‑K/Press Release
- Q2 2025 highlights: Revenue $203.1M; Net income $12.8M (6.3% margin); Adjusted Net Income $33.9M (16.7% margin); Adjusted EBITDA $69.4M (34.2% margin); Operating cash flow $49.6M .
- Segment dynamics: Prescription transactions (-3% YoY) impacted by 14% MAC decline, retail closures, and ISP volume reduction; PMS +32% YoY driven by brand-direct pricing and higher monetization per brand .
- Balance sheet: Cash & equivalents $281.3M; total outstanding debt $497.5M at 6/30/25 .
Selected strategic press releases (Q2 2025)
- Community Link for independent pharmacies (cost‑plus NADAC, opt‑in ISP, brand deals access) .
- Direct contracting announcement ahead of Community Link launch .
- ED subscription service launch (bundled consult, Rx, delivery; starts at $18/month) .
Post‑quarter development (for context)
- Novo Nordisk collaboration: Ozempic/Wegovy self-pay at $499/month via GoodRx for eligible patients, expanding access and supporting brand‑direct strategy; potential to enhance GLP‑1 funnel conversion .
Citations:
- Q2 2025 8‑K and press release: .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript: .
- Q1 2025 8‑K and call: .
- Q4 2024 8‑K: .
- Community Link and ED subscription press releases: .
- Novo Nordisk collaboration press release: .
S&P Global estimates: Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.